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ONE SIZE FITS ALL WILL NOT FIT AFRICA

Greg MILLS
Business Day

MAY 2006

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One size fits all will not fit Africa
A KEY aspect of the Accelerated and Shared Growth Initiative of SA (Asgi-SA) is the need for a co-ordinated African development strategy. Currently, SA’s continental development approach is piecemeal.

It is part-Nepad (New Partnership for Africa’s Development), where most development financing is led by the Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA), while the treasury promotes investment into Africa by SA-based companies through preferential foreign exchange liberalisation.

Of course, the national defence force also plays its important role in peacekeeping missions.

At an organisation level, our Africa policy is multidisciplinary, cuts across a wide variety of business sectors, and involves a multitude of government departments. Peace efforts are led by the president, although Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma’s foreign affairs is, at least on paper, the lead department in formulating Africa policy.

Asgi-SA is itself an integrated programme. It focuses on what government can do in reducing the “binding constraints” on faster, deeper and wider economic growth.

These include the volatility and value of the currency; infrastructure; a shortage of skills; barriers to entry and competition in some sectors of the economy; weaknesses in the regulatory environment and their effects, especially on small and medium business; and, in government’s own words, “deficiencies in state organisation, capacity and strategies”.

Government’s answer is to address these areas through R372bn worth of infrastructure spend, improving skills levels, realising more value from its “dead assets” (notably land, livestock and housing), and through focused sectoral strategies where there is the greatest advantage to be had not only in growth potential but also employment creation and enterprise development.

For Asgi-SA to work, it has to be much more than just a “vision thing”, but rather a detailed step of measurable, prioritised tactical steps. Its success will hinge ultimately on the capacity, less financial than human, necessary for its roll-out.

In the same way, SA’s Africa policy has to be no less about vision than nuance. No one would disagree with the need for broad strategic principles encompassing the promotion of security and stability, good governance and the rule of law, and sound policy. But the African growth story is highly differentiated, and Pretoria’s strategy has to have this reality as its undergirding principle. Indeed, the scope for a meaningful African role by SA rests on understanding the degree of differentiation between countries.

For the foundations of the African growth story vary from democracy to autocracy, in their bases from the examples of commodity-centred successes of SA and Botswana to that of the Mauritian service economy, and even within regions. Outside of the oil states, which may be considered as a special case, the points of commonality of today’s high performers, inasmuch as these are discernable, are of the relationship between good governance, democratic government, economic freedoms, and the need to align a trade strategy to suit. Democracy and its counterparts of transparency and accountability are a critical growth tool — perhaps the critical growth tool — contrary to the early east Asian development model. It is the absence of such Africa-wide commonalities that has made continental transformation sporadic and confined to isolated examples, even though the situation is much better than it was a decade ago.

Put differently, in the jargon of Asgi-SA, the binding constraints for Ghana are quite apart from those of Guinea, or for Botswana compared with Benin, or Lesotho and Liberia. Their comparative development advantages, and disadvantages, should be reflected in SA’s Africa policy. This means developing country-specific tactics on, for example, trade policy, a recognition of the reality for “variable geometry and varying speed” in continental integration. Asgi-SA’s focus on public-private partnerships in infrastructure should conceivably be replicated in Africa. An Africa policy based on more than just the “vision thing” will also require polling South African businesses to understand their continental experience, expertise and needs.

A successful strategy will require making hard choices about where to place scarce resources, ranking African countries in terms of their importance and the dedication of time, effort and money. This logic means, essentially, SA not being all things to all Africans.

Greg MILLS
Brenthurst Foundation - Dedicated to strengthening African economic performance.
www.thebrenthurstfoundation.org



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